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10 reasons your taxes are going up (no matter who's elected president)

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/ten-reasons-your-taxes-going/story.aspx?guid=%7B2DA65225%2DC2F9%2D48C9%2DA828%2DD52C52621C6C%7D&dist=TNMostRead

Reason No. 1: "Most Americans have yet to feel any of the costs of the Iraq war," write Nobel economist Joseph Stiglitz and Linda Bilmes in an excerpt of their new book, "The Three Trillion Dollar War," in Vanity Fair. "The price in blood has been paid by members of the volunteer military. The price in treasure has been financed entirely by borrowing. Taxes have not been raised to pay for the war."
Well, folks, the party's over. Campaign rhetoric won't hide America's excesses, denial, incompetence and arrogance much longer. No matter who's elected, taxes will increase to cover massive debts. Greed has driven America's great economic engine into a "debt contagion" ditch with a recession, bear market, price inflation, and weak job and housing markets ... you bet your taxes will increase.
Yes, our five-year war was totally financed by borrowing. But unfortunately, "deficit spending gives the illusion that the laws of economics can be repealed. They cannot. Americans will have to pay for the war at some point -- and when they do, they will be paying not the Bush markdown but the full price," the authors say.
We've been mislead by Washington's Enron-style accounting that hides many costs:

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Supplemental financing bills, outside the budget
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No veterans health-care estimates included
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No equipment replacement costs to restore our military
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Nothing about increases in state and homeland security

The real cost isn't $800 billion, it's already $3 trillion. And still, it doesn't include ...

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Interest on the ever-increasing $9.3 trillion federal debt
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Damage to our credibility from a weak dollar
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Out-of-control inflation in energy
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And the brutal damage to Iraq and other Gulf states

Washington's hiding all that from us. We were sold a war-on-the-cheap, to cost a mere $50 billion to $60 billion, to be self-financed out of oil revenues. Today we're spending $50 billion every month! This war is already an economic disaster for America and the bill's still coming due.
Still, we know there's strong opposition to taxes. But can a new president change much? Certainly not with two-thirds of the budget in untouchable entitlements and interest costs. Besides, Washington's not run by our 537 elected officials but by 35,000 lobbyists. And after the elections, all 35,537 will still be part of a conspiracy that hates change and loves to spend the $3 trillion Federal budget.
Mark my words: Taxes will (must!) be increased to recover from years of excessive spending, accumulating deficits and future earmarks. A new president may expose the problems but without Congressional restraint the taxpayers will get stuck paying "the full price."
Frankly, since both parties are mired in narrow ideologies, it's questionable whether either can manage a $15 trillion GDP economy. Read "Mismanagement 101," Dan Gross's Newsweek column: "As oil hovered near $100 a barrel, President Bush complained to OPEC about high oil prices. OPEC president Chakib Khelil responded acidly that crude's remarkable run had nothing to do with the reluctance of Persian Gulf nations to pump oil, and everything to do with the 'mismanagement of the U.S. economy.'" And our heavy reliance on borrowing keeps making it even more difficult for the next president.
But unfortunately, even though the party's over, that $3 trillion war debt is just a fraction of America's out-of-control debt which is bigger than the official $9.3 trillion federal debt. It's reason No. 1 taxes are going up.
Here are another nine problems increasing our government's debt and adding pressures for new tax hikes. I'm sure you can think of many others:
2. America's new Wall Street welfare program
This one's scary. For the first time in almost a century, the Fed's bailing out the investment bankers, those wild speculators who got us in this mess -- bailed out while two million homeowners face foreclosures and increasing interest rates.
The real sinners are free to sin again! Like J.P. Morgan Chase's $2 -- now $10 -- freebie of Bear Stern's equity, while the Fed stuck the taxpayers with billions of Bear's junk debt. Now Wall Street's greedy traders are free to start speculating again, playing in the same old $516 trillion high-risk derivatives casino. Bad move: The Fed's setting America up for an even bigger crash around 2012.
3. The Fed's nationalizing America's financial industry
Bear Sterns is a symptom of a systemic disease. As BusinessWeek put it: "Financiers preached the free-market gospel and pocketed unheard-of sums of money, yet when times got tough they called for a government bailout."
The Fed's dealing with America like a third-world banana republic, effectively nationalizing our financial industry! Wall Street's speculators have over $200 billion in junk write-offs. But like the government accounting tricks hiding war costs, Wall Street has also been inflating junk asset values and ginning up profits. And now the Fed's even helping them mask losses to prevent panic. Eventually this PR stunt will cut Wall Street's future earnings and increase taxes.
4. Huge resistance to cutting social and entitlement programs

obbyists like AARP will fight all cutbacks in Medicare and Social Security entitlements, even though those unfunded benefits will balloon to $50 trillion to $65 trillion within a generation. Economists say solving this problem will take Draconian cuts of 40% in benefits or tax increases of 40%. If we don't, entitlements will consume the entire budget in a generation. Untouchable near-term: Ergo, minimal cuts, higher taxes.
5. America's pork barrel lobbying machine
The Washington Post says lobbying is "Washington's biggest business." All those 35,000 lobbyists will be around for the entire 2009-2012 first term of the next president, and all screaming for government handouts. The Democrats need them. And while McCain promises to veto earmarks, his campaign's inner circle is made up of special interest lobbyists, ostensibly working for "free."
Expect little change. Lobbyists earn big bucks squeezing megabucks out of the federal budget, and your taxes pay the bills.
6. White House's free market nonaction policies
"We're on top of it," said the President in his St. Patrick's Day speech at the New York Economics Club, as if the credit meltdown had little effect on the economy. The Treasury secretary even got a Katrina-style "great job, Hank" for working one whole weekend to magically fix the crisis.
Unfortunately, the Treasury and the Fed are following the same playbook that pushed the 1970s economy into a long, deep recession. Pimco's Bill Gross says we need an aggressive Rooseveltian fiscal package. No chance. This administration only knows a free market (for business) and tax cuts (for the top).
7. Aging infrastructure: roads, bridges, water, sewer, etc.
Imagine taking that $50 billion monthly cost of fighting and rebuilding Iraq and shifting it to upgrading our own highways, hospitals, power, sewer and water plants. Dream on. Yet our deterioration continues and deferred maintenance only works so long. Expect higher gas taxes, plus sizeable cutbacks in state and local services, or general tax increases.
8. Paradigm shift: consumer spending vs. consumer savings
In one generation our savings rate declined below zero. Policymakers favored a consumer-driven economy, capital formation fell and debt piled up. Meanwhile, consumers took a cue from an out-of-control "spend and borrow" government piling up huge deficits.
9. Recession reality replacing arrogant optimism
The past five years the Wall Street Bubble Machine relied on an artificially low 1% Fed rate to create the housing boom and then the subprime-credit meltdown. Meanwhile our optimism and faith in capitalism sank with all the phony asset values and stock prices concocted by Wall Street ... and it'll happen again ... because Wall Street's relentless, all-consuming greed is setting up the economy to crash and burn again, all too soon ... and the taxpayer will pick up the tab ... again.
10. Now your turn, what's your top reason taxes will increase?
Seriously, you tell us, what did we miss? Or do you honestly believe we can "stay the course" and not increase taxes? If so, tell us how. Tell us why we're wrong in saying: "No matter who's the next president, your taxes are going up." Add your comments. End of Story

created by charlatan on Mar 27, 2008 at 06:47:43 pm     Comments: 9

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Comments ... #

The main reason taxes will increase for everyone except the top one percent of taxpayers is because tax increase has become the status quo of US government at all levels. No excuses are needed for the increase, and in fact if Hitlery is elected as our next president I fully expect my taxes to increase while social services decrease. Why? Because that's the way government works, and has worked for years.

Until the US suffers a truly cataclysmic economic catastrophe or elects a government made up of independent politicians with high moral standards, the economy and the state of the country will only get worse. Any bets on which event will happen first?

posted by madjack on Mar 27, 2008 at 07:28:21 pm     #



While I'm at it, wade in GZ and McCaskey

posted by madjack on Mar 27, 2008 at 07:28:50 pm     #



Some economists say that if wages and salaries actually grew with productivity most these problems we're having now would have went away or never existed in the first place. Taxes wouldn't be as burdensome because people could pay for most things themselves.

But most people would rather toe the free market line even though every market is highly politicized. Yet most economic/political decision require almost perfect ignorance/misinformation to maintain the status quo.

posted by charlatan on Mar 27, 2008 at 10:12:30 pm     #



...if Hitlery is elected as our next president I fully expect my taxes to increase while social services decrease.

I'm not sure I follow you here - what do you mean by this?

Until the US suffers a truly cataclysmic economic catastrophe or elects a government made up of independent politicians with high moral standards, the economy and the state of the country will only get worse.

Actually, what do you think about a third option of adopting a structure in which the economy and the state of the country are not so completely subservient to the government?

posted by babbleman on Mar 27, 2008 at 11:16:27 pm     #



Some economists say that if wages and salaries actually grew with productivity

There's a certain amount of truth to that statement. Things that aren't covered are the rise in petroleum due to investment in the commodities market, the investment banking crises and the related fall in housing sales and the effect of monopolistic global corporations on the overall economy. Add to this the greed of corrupt politicos and the attempt by labor unions to regain control of the labor market and throw in outsourcing to foreign countries - more greed. Overall, I'd say that wages and production are a part of the problem, but these days it's a small part.

Actually, what do you think about a third option of adopting a structure

We've already got that, and we, the common man, are going broke.

As to my statement about Hitlery, I can't see the need for clarification. If Hitlery is elected, I fully expect my taxes - my income tax, the amount the government removes from my paycheque before I have a chance to get my hands on it - along with my property tax, sales tax, and tax on tax, to increase. I will be paying more in taxes. I also expect that any social services I would normally get in exchange for my tax money to decrease or be eliminated.

I expect things to get worse instead of better.

posted by madjack on Mar 27, 2008 at 11:31:51 pm     #



There are more than a few people that claim government is subservient to the businessman, banks, the people who own the country.

According to Zepezauer 4/5ths of all government welfare goes to "the rich."

posted by charlatan on Mar 29, 2008 at 07:08:16 pm     #



According to Zepezauer 4/5ths of all government welfare goes to "the rich."

So then we are all on the same page. Eliminate welfare from the government and the arguments over who it should go to will cease because it will no longer exist.

posted by babbleman on Mar 30, 2008 at 11:49:35 am     #



Babs, I think we've long agreed that government should be an ENABLER of prosperity, not a PROVIDER of it. Government should make sure the roads are usable, and NOT make sure that milk gets put on your doorstep (using roads as an excuse to get that task done). People often confuse such things, which is partially why we have so much individual and corporate welfare.

A smaller, focused government is really much better for everyone in the long term. The wealth of the nation belongs to the people first, and the commons of the nation is only to be overseen (not owned) by government.

posted by GuestZero on Mar 30, 2008 at 03:02:20 pm     #



A smaller, focused government is really much better for everyone in the long term. The wealth of the nation belongs to the people first, and the commons of the nation is only to be overseen (not owned) by government.

Exactly. But any attempt to actually reduce government is immediately attacked as being cruel to the "poor" or racist. And any cut in taxes, no matter who benefits, will be twisted into being a cut for the "rich".

At 70,000 pages, our income based tax code is so convoluted that it is like the Bible. Literally anything can be spun and justified as something totally different. A cut for the rich can be convincingly argued as a cut for the poor and vice versa. This makes for eternal conflict that leads not only to no resolution but is more likely to lead to more taxes and bigger government in a never ending quest to "fix" the problem.

I wish those who insist on being preoccupied with differences in the population and the use of government to remove those differences would wake up and understand this.

posted by babbleman on Mar 30, 2008 at 03:19:01 pm     #