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U.S. Orgy of Debt Americans borrowed to hilt, then housing bubble burst

Americans borrowed to hilt, then housing bubble burst
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article20837.htm
By ERIC MARGOLIS

21/09/08 "Toronto Sun" -- - NEW YORK -- The financial panic sweeping the globe is maddeningly complex, but the cause of the worst financial crisis since the 1930s Great Depression is clear.

America has reveled for two decades in an orgy of debt. The U.S. national debt is now twice its net worth. From Wall Street's "masters of the universe" financial powerhouses such as Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, Lehman, and Morgan Stanley, to the humblest homeowners, America's national motto became "borrow to the hilt and bet."

The traditional regulated banking system was pushed aside by Wall Street's financial titans who created their own money in the form of complex securities and furiously traded these exotic instruments and borrowed recklessly against them with little government regulation or oversight.

As Kevin Phillips points out in his prophetic book, Bad Money, America's primary business became non-productive finance. Manufacturing fell to only 12% of GDP. Wall Street titans grew obscenely rich by simply passing around paper. Inflated or semi-worthless securities increased in bogus value at each stage of the trading process.

Wall Street was allowed to virtually print money and peddle toxic securities around the globe because the big financial houses and heads of hedge funds bought the politicians of both parties.

Equally important, the mammoth financial and housing bubble thus created was hailed by the Bush administration as proof positive of Republican free market philosophy and the true road to prosperity.

More cautious European and Canadian bankers were dismissed by Republican chest thumpers as financial sissies.

This Ponzi scheme worked so long as markets kept rising. When the music stopped - disaster.

It's uncertain how far damage from America's financial equivalent of Hurricane Katrina will spread. Hedge funds, money market funds and automakers could be next. Real estate losses may reach $636 billion by 2012.

All stock market gains of the past 10 years have been wiped out in the most dangerous crash since the 1930s.

The "free market" Republican administration has ended up nationalizing nearly $1 trillion worth of businesses, including the federal mortgage agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Bear Stearns, and global insurer AIG. Welcome to Wall Street socialism.

One thing is now clear. When great empires run onto the financial rocks, their power quickly ebbs. France's Sun King, Louis XIV, ended his once glorious rein in near bankruptcy caused by his long, ruinous wars with the British and Dutch. Louis XVI's runaway borrowing to finance the American Revolution helped ignite the French Revolution. The Soviet Union's collapse was caused by spending half its national income on arms, and failure to modernize industry.

Over the past decade, the U.S. foreign debt doubled. Japan and China now hold 47% of the U.S. foreign debt and finance Washington's wars. The addition in recent days of at least $1 trillion in new debt will cause interest rates to rise and the dollar to weaken. Even the U.S. government's AAA credit rating now is in question.

Washington may no longer be able to spend half the globe's defence budgets.

The $12-13 billion a month wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will end up costing $750 billion by December 2008. There will be less cash in Washington's kitty to buy foreign dictators and prop up their regimes, as in the Mideast and Central Asia. Less cash to pay for little wars in Africa.

Less for exotic anti-missile systems and death rays.

America's enormous global power is based as much on its financial might as military muscle. Wall Street has been the vehicle and policeman of America's hegemony. It shaped the destiny of the globe and made many nations subservient to the demands of New York's titan bankers. Wall Street is essential to raising capital for business expansion, but often it resembled New York's ruthless loan sharks: Once you borrowed from them, you never got off the hook.

Americans will have to relearn the hard truth that you can't borrow your way to prosperity.

created by charlatan on Sep 22, 2008 at 11:46:40 pm     Comments: 10

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Comments ... #

We sure are in some deep shit.

posted by holland on Sep 23, 2008 at 12:13:08 am     #



GUEST ZERO predicted all this several years ago, but everyone here and at Swamp Bubbles called him a depressed nut or a ranting heretic for it.

posted by Darkseid on Sep 23, 2008 at 02:56:36 am     #



Can you imagine how bad our economy would be if we weren't buying stuff? I guess we'll find out in the coming months. So if we hadn't bought all that crap we have in our closets, attics, and garages we would just have a "slow" economy. One thing about a "recession/depression": it will take "inflation" out of the economic picture.

posted by oldsendbrdy on Sep 23, 2008 at 02:34:43 pm     #



Remember that Bush wanted the American people to just shop when the Iraq war began? The sacrifice and contribution of non-combat involved American's was to spend ourselves into a hole. Well, we sure did that didn't we!

http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/73340

posted by holland on Sep 23, 2008 at 03:16:07 pm     #



Yes, GuestZero has been dead on with his awareness of the nature of the national house-of-cards we call an economy. He is a witty, well-read, and sharp-eyed observer who refuses to drink the happy cups of KoolAid being dished out by politicians in both parties and financial elites who pretend to be looking out for the middle class but who really just want to get a piece of our wallets.

Yet can there be any joy in being right about a calamity when your prediction comes true? I started writing about the housing bubble in 2005, and I correctly predicted fallout from the credit crunch, warned of the coming recession, absolutely nailed the demise of Lehman Brothers, and scoffed at the inadequacy of the tax stimulus checks in jumpstarting the economy.

But whoop-tee-doo. Being right that the dookie would hit the proverbial fan doesn't make me feel good about the $10K hit my retirement money has taken this year, or the $20K in home equity that has evaporated from the value of my house in a shrinking real estate market.

And being right about the financial meltdown doesn't assuage my discouragement that the United States is in danger of an economic catastrophe perhaps unparalleled in our history. I might rail against the unjustness and irony of the bank bailout plan, but I only reach a few hundred people a day on what a recent TT poster described (correctly) as my "boring little blog."

Being "right" doesn't make me feel good. I mostly just want to vomit at what is happening to my country.

posted by historymike on Sep 23, 2008 at 07:19:12 pm     #



So, where can we go from here? Or is it over for this generation? Do we just become a second rate country? We're terribly vulnerable at the moment.

posted by holland on Sep 23, 2008 at 07:42:39 pm     #



I think my generation (thw tail end of Baby Boomers or the beginning of GenX) will do okay, since most of us have been working, saving, and planning for the future. However, I think my children and grandchildren face a future of declining opportunities and a reduction in the American standards of living.

We are probably looking at the rise of regional powers such as China, India, Russia, and Brazil who will dominate spheres. Whoever wins the battle for Islamic leadership (probably Iran, perhaps a Sunni-dominated bloc led by Saudi Arabia) will wind up with the oil-rich Middle East. Europe will muddle along with the unweildy EU staving off a rapid decline. The US will still be the major North American power, but that will be like being the best of the kids not picked for kickball, right?

Of course, all bets are off if any of these regional rises to power result in nuclear exchanges, or if the much-dreaded World War III breaks out over oil and other scarce resources.

Sorry - my rose-timted glasses are not working today, and I am not visualizing the "best days for America are ahead" pablum the national politicians love to spoon out to us.

posted by historymike on Sep 23, 2008 at 07:55:47 pm     #



Things don't look too rosy for the baby boomers either. I've been mostly self employed and saved and invested for my own retirement. 1/3 of my assets are in real estate (not speculative), 1/3 in cash 1/3 in the market. Well, need I say more? I'm looking at full retirement age right in the face and thanks to the titans of Wall Street I may be working much longer than I planned. If, there is work! At least my debt is minimal. My home is not at risk. But what a sudden slap in the face to find yourself in this position so late in the game. And this is not the America I envisioned I would be living in. I'm ashamed of both sides of the aisle, but mostly with the party that's been in power for the last 8 years. Lying, theiving bastards.

posted by holland on Sep 24, 2008 at 09:32:02 am     #



I hear you. After a business failure in the 1990s that sucked almost every nickel of my net worth, my wife and I have scraped and clawed our way back to a net worth over six figures again. That is, before 2008, since we are down about $10K YTD in our 401-Ks and 403-Bs, and I estimate our home equity has been chopped by at least $20K this year.

I suspect I will be working until right before I die, as it looks like SSI will be reduced to a relative pittance by the time I get to collect, while the threats to the global capital markets means that our personal retirement savings might also be in jeopardy.

Like you, we are relatively debt-free beyond our mortgage (currently about 75% of our now-reduced house value) and some student loans. We have no credit card debt, no car payments (I buy and fix up clunkers instead), and we are both healthy enough to work multiple jobs.

But my kids? They face an upward battle, and chances are we'll have a few of them living with us a looong time. Not so bad, if they would just pick up the dirty dishes and stop getting water all over the bathroom floor when they take showers.

:-}

posted by historymike on Sep 24, 2008 at 11:56:10 am     #



It will be easier to fix the economy than to get the kids to clean up.

posted by holland on Sep 24, 2008 at 01:50:50 pm     #