Dec 12, 2010 Great Lakes Snowstorm

Sun, Dec 12, 2010, 10:00 a.m. update

In Toledo, rain changed to snow after 9:00 a.m. today, and it begin sticking to grassy areas shortly before 10:00 a.m.

As of this morning, snowfall predictions for Toledo vary. The Weather Channel map shows northwest Ohio receiving 3 to 6 inches of snow over the next 24 hours. The National Weather Service forecasts 1 to 3 inches today, 2 to 4 tonight, and maybe 1 to 2 tomorrow. AccuWeather predicts 1 to 2 inches of snow today and up to one inch tonight (1.1 inches today and 0.4 inches tonight.) Over the last 24 hours, the NWS upgraded Toledo's snowfall prediction while AccuWeather downgraded the snow prediction.

Temperatures today are expected to drop into the mid-20s by this afternoon. It's wet this morning from the rain overnight and the wet snow this morning. With the falling temps, things will ice up fast with no chance to dry out first. At 9:50 a.m., the concrete walk and driveway around our home were already slippery. It will be tough to remove snow and ice from sidewalks, making walking a possible bone-breaker.

Thus far today as of 9:52 a.m., Dec 12, 2010, Toledo Express Airport received 0.41 inches of liquid precip, mainly rain. Yesterday, Toledo Express recorded 0.18 inches of rain.

Tonight and tomorrow, the winds will be strong causing significant blowing snow. With temps tonight and tomorrow mainly in the teens, the snow will be light, powdery and easily blown around. That means tough driving in our flat, open farm country.

As of 11:00 a.m., ODOT reports Toledo area roadways to be wet.


Toledo Express Airport Weather:

Links

http://www.convertcase.net

Road Cams

Snow Emergency Defs

Ohio Roads Snow Emergency Classifications

LEVEL 1 : Roadways are hazardous with blowing and drifting snow. Roads may also be icy. Motorists are urged to drive very cautiously.

LEVEL 2 : Roadways are hazardous with blowing and drifting snow. Roads may also be very icy. Only those who feel it is necessary to drive should be out on the roads. Contact your employer to see if you should report to work. Motorists should use extreme caution.

LEVEL 3 : All roadways are closed to non-emergency personnel. No one should be driving during these conditions unless it is absolutely necessary to travel or a personal emergency exists. All employees should contact their employer to see if they should report to work. Those traveling on the roads may subject themselves to arrest.

Weather Channel

Sun morning, Dec 12, 2010 snow forecast map at the Weather Channel.

Dec 12 a.m. Winter Weather Advisory

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
458 am est sun dec 12 2010

ohz003-006>009-017>019-027-028-036-121800-
/o.ext.kcle.ww.y.0014.101212t1800z-101213t1800z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-marion-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...
upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...marion
458 am est sun dec 12 2010

...winter weather advisory now in effect from 1 pm this afternoon
to 1 pm est monday...

the winter weather advisory is now in effect from 1 pm this
afternoon to 1 pm est monday.

deep low pressure will track across northern ohio today with a
strong cold front also moving through. as the low moves eastward
there will be a period of wrap around snowfall that is expected to
begin later today and continue into monday morning. snow
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches will be possible through monday
morning. northwesterly winds will arrive across northwest ohio
this evening. winds of 20 to 30 mph will be common with gusts
between 40 and 45 mph possible. this will cause areas of blowing
and drifting snow through monday morning. these stronger winds
will cause wind chills of 5 to 15 degrees below zero at times.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as snow... blowing snow and wind
chills. while the weather will be significant... the word
advisory implies that severe winter weather is not anticipated.
stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other radio and tv stations
for further details or updates.

Dec 12 a.m. Hazardous Outlook

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
542 am est sun dec 12 2010

ohz003-006>009-017>019-027-028-036-131045-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-marion-
542 am est sun dec 12 2010

...winter weather advisory in effect from 1 pm this afternoon to
1 pm est monday...

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and
northwest ohio.

.day one...today and tonight.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter weather advisory.

.days two through seven...monday through saturday.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter weather advisory.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Dec 12 a.m. Toledo Forecast

National Weather Service forecast issued at 4:31 a.m. EST, Dec 11, 2010:

Today...Snow and rain likely early...then snow likely later this morning and this afternoon. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Highs in the mid 30s. Temperature falling into the mid 20s this afternoon. South winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming west this afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Tonight...Snow showers. Areas of blowing snow. Additional snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Windy and much colder with lows around 13. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Wind chill values as low as 6 below after midnight.

Monday...Snow showers likely in the morning. Areas of blowing snow. Snow accumulating an inch or two. Blustery and much colder with highs around 19. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. Wind chill values as low as 7 below in the morning.

Monday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Brisk with lows around 11. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 below.

Tuesday...Partly sunny. Highs around 20. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 below in the morning.

Tuesday Night...Mostly cloudy. Cold with lows 5 to 15 above.

Wednesday...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 20s.

Wednesday Night...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 10 above.

Thursday...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s.

Dec 11 Afternoon

On Saturday afternoon, Dec 11, the National Weather Service issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Toledo area. Snowfall amounts and wind gusts have been upgraded. Predictions are 3 to 5 inches of snow by mid-day Monday. Wind gusts Sunday night could reach 40 to 50 mph.

Dec 11 Morning

As of Saturday morning, Dec 11, 2010, no storm is predicted for Toledo. Areas just to the north and west are expected to receive more snow.

According to the National Weather Service, Toledo is supposed to receive maybe two inches of snow. AccuWeather predicts Toledo will receive 2.8 inches of total snow from Sunday to Monday morning.

The snow, however, will be accompanied by strong winds, which will cause blowing snow, making driving a bit difficult in the wide open flatlands of the Great Black Swamp. Within the city, we should have no problems, except for maybe strong wind gusts.

Yesterday was a relatively nice day in the Toledo area with temps about 40 degrees with some sunshine. A similar day is predicted for today, Dec 11. Enjoy it.

Dec 11 a.m. Toledo Forecast

National Weather Service forecast issued at 10:40 a.m. EST, Dec 11, 2010:

This Afternoon ...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight ...Rain and snow showers. Snow accumulation less than an inch. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Sunday ...Snow showers. Snow accumulation around an inch. Early highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 80 percent.

Sunday Night ...Snow showers. Blowing snow after midnight. Additional light snow accumulation. Brisk and much colder with lows around 16. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Monday ...Snow showers likely. Windy and colder with highs in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Monday Night ...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cold with lows around 10 above.

Tuesday ...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 20s.

Tuesday Night ...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. Cold with lows around 10 above.

Wednesday ...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s.

Severe Weather Map

Dec 11, 2010 a.m.

Here's a Sat morning, Dec 11, 2010 snapshot of the severe weather forecast map at Wunderground.com. The white means those counties are under a Winter Weather Advisory or a Winter Storm Watch or something more

Dec 11, 2010 p.m.

Sat evening, Dec 11, 2010 snapshot of the severe weather forecast map at Wunderground.com.

Dec 12, 2010 a.m.

Sun morning, Dec 12, 2010 snapshot of the severe weather forecast map at Wunderground.com.

Williams County

The Winter Storm Watch info for Williams County in extreme northwest Ohio:

Statement as of 5:10 AM EST on December 11, 2010

... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Sunday morning through late
Sunday night...

The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has issued a
Winter Storm Watch... which is in effect from Sunday morning
through late Sunday night.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations as well as blowing and drifting snow that may
impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

Detroit Area

Winter Storm Watch info for Detroit area:

Statement as of 4:21 AM EST on December 11, 2010

... Winter Storm Watch in effect from this evening through Sunday
evening...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Winter Storm Watch... which is in effect from this evening through
Sunday evening.

Impacts...

Hazardous weather...

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Northeast Ohio

Winter Storm Watch info for northeast Ohio:

Statement as of 11:33 AM EST on December 11, 2010

... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday afternoon
through Wednesday evening...

A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday afternoon
through Wednesday evening.

A strong storm system will track near Lake Erie late tonight into
Sunday. In the wake of the storm system very cold air will
arrive on gusty northwesterly winds. The lake effect machine will
begin late Sunday night into Monday morning with significant
snowfall expected across an area north of a line from Oberlin to
Medina to around Youngstown. The heaviest lake effect snows should
be located across the western portion of the watch on Monday then
wobble eastward Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday. A general
2 to 5 inches of snowfall may occur Sunday afternoon and evening
before the lake effect snow develops. Snowfall totals across all
of the watch area should be a foot or more through Wednesday. The
usual higher terrain areas of northeast Ohio into northwest
Pennsylvania could see 2 or more feet of snowfall. The strong
winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of the
snow... especially Monday into Tuesday. Wind gusts may be as high
as 50 mph Sunday night into Monday. These winds will also assist
in keeping wind chills in a range from zero to 15 degrees below
zero through Tuesday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means that heavy snow is possible. If you
are within the watch area... remain alert to rapidly changing
weather conditions. Stay tuned to the National Weather Service or
your favorite weather source for the latest updates and possible
warnings.

Saturday Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service forecast discussion

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1008 am est sat dec 11 2010

.synopsis...
a weak ridge of high pressure over the region will continue to
move east today. low pressure will move east along a stationary
front and deepen rapidly. the storm system will move into southern
lower michigan and lake erie by sunday evening. an arctic cold
front will sweep east across the region during the day sunday
ushering in sharply colder air. the arctic air will bring another
round of heavy lake effect snow.

&&

.near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
warm air is bottled up across southern indiana into illinois as a
warm front approaches from our southwest. with some breaks and the
approach of this warmer air we should see well into the
30s...maybe even 40 for a few locations that do not have much of a
snowpack. thickening middle and high level cloud cover will
attempt to at least slow down our warming today but will still
lead to a decent afternoon with no precipitation falling across
the region.

there is some rain moving across illinois but believe it will be
into the tonight period before it affects the region. will make
some minor changes to highs and delay the onset of the any showers
to later in the evening.

&&

.short term /6 pm this evening through tuesday night/...
storm system will be moving into the western lakes tonight. models
are beginning to indicate some minor track differences in the
track of the low at the surface and at 7h. this may have impacts
on how fast rain turns back to snow across the western cwa
tonight. there will be some wrap around general snow across the
region. at this time it still looks like a general 2 to 4 maybe 3
to 5 inches before the lake effect snow develops. the main
impacts of the storm will be the strong winds and then the
development of the lake effect snow bands. the strong winds look
to move into northwest ohio near midnight then continue into
monday. the strongest wind gusts look to be sunday after midnight
into midday monday. a few gusts may approach 50 mph which will
lead to some blowing and drifting of the general snowfall. these
stronger winds will gradually spread across the entire region
through monday afternoon. all locations should see gusts into the
40 to 45 mph range by late in the day. the lake effect snow bands
should have developed by monday afternoon and should increase
their intensity into monday night and tuesday. this lake effect
snow should then wobble across from near kcle to nw pa into
tuesday night. significant snow amounts will occur with locations
in the typical snow belt area seeing the potential for 1 to 2 feet
of snow.

after early highs on sunday temperatures will struggle to get into
the lowe to mid 20s on monday and tuesday...some locations may
not get out of the teens. wind chills of 5 below to 15 below zero
will be common.

&&

.long term /wednesday through friday/...
00z operational model runs of the gfs and ecmwf as well as the
gfsens were showing the deep low affecting the region early in the
period moving away a little faster with high pressure then moving in
a little quicker. will still have some lake effect snow showers
continuing on wednesday...but then started to lower pops wednesday
night with the high sliding over the area. models then diverge on
handling of another low moving out of the southern plains at the end
of the week with ecmwf slower and further s than the gfs. ended any
threat of lake effect snow showers for thursday and friday that were
in the previous forecast. then leaned toward ecmwf timing and track
of the next low having a chance of snow again most of the area for
thursday night and friday.

&&

.aviation /12z saturday through wednesday/...
areas of mvfr/ifr fog through about 15z this morning otherwise
vfr weather with mainly just high clouds through about 00z sunday.
precip will start to arrive over western areas around 03z in
advance of strong low pressure that will move through on sunday.
shortly after precip starts expect conditions to lower to mvfr
than ifr. precip type far west should start as rain showers then
mix or change to snow 09z-12z. central areas and near the lake
should only see rain showers through the taf period...12z sunday.
precip type may be mixed in the east as rain/sleet/snow or even
fzra when it first begins...likely after 06z...but would expect it
to change to rain fairly quickly with the se flow. at this time
however only showed mixed rain/snow there.

.outlook...widespread ifr/mvfr sunday. widespread lake effect
snow and gusty northwest winds set up sunday night through tuesday
with some improvement west by wednesday.

&&

.marine...
will allow the small craft advisory that was in effect for the erie
pennsylvania waters to expire early this morning. moderate southerly
in that area early this morning will provide for choppy conditions
away from the shoreline...but waves will be decreasing slightly as
winds become southeast and diminish. deep low pressure still
forecast to move across the lake on sunday with strong winds
developing in the cold advection behind the low. winds will likely
increase to gale force sunday night and then last into at least the
early part of tuesday. given the event is in the 5th period will not
go with headlines for now.

&&

.cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...winter storm watch from sunday afternoon through wednesday
evening for ohz010>014-020>023-033-089.
pa...winter storm watch from sunday afternoon through wednesday
evening for paz001>003.
marine...none.

&&

$$
synopsis...lombardy
near term...mullen
short term...mullen
long term...randel
aviation...randel
marine...randel

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service special weather statements

lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-marion-morrow-holmes-knox-
429 am est sat dec 11 2010

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio and northwest ohio.

.day one...today and tonight.

no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.days two through seven...sunday through friday.

a storm system will move northeast into southern michigan and lake
erie on sunday forcing an arctic cold front to move through the
area.

winds will be on the increase sunday night through tuesday and the
potential exists for wind chill values to dip to 5 below zero or
colder at times. snow showers are also forecast and some blowing
and drifting snow will occur.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Winter Weather Advisory

For the Toledo area:

Statement as of 3:35 PM EST on December 11, 2010

... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 11 am Sunday to 11 am
EST Monday...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow and blowing snow... which is in effect
from 11 am Sunday to 11 am EST Monday.

A strong storm system will track near Lake Erie late tonight into
Sunday. As the low moves eastward there will be a period of wrap
around snowfall that is expected to begin Sunday afternoon and
continue into early Monday. Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches
will be possible through Monday morning. Northwesterly winds will arrive
across Northwest Ohio Sunday evening. Winds of 20 to 30 mph will
be common with gusts between 40 and 50 mph possible. This will
cause areas of blowing and drifting snow through Monday morning.
These stronger winds will cause wind chills of 5 to 15 degrees
below zero at times.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as snow, blowing snow and wind
chills. While the weather will be significant, the word advisory
implies that severe winter weather is not anticipated. Stay tuned
to NOAA Weather Radio and other radio and TV stations for further
details or updates.

created by jr on Dec 11, 2010 at 12:26:40 pm
updated by jr on Dec 12, 2010 at 12:44:11 pm

© 2003-2012 Toledo Talk
Creative Commons License - Some Rights Reserved
current date: 25-Jul-2014 8:59 A.M.